Hunter Muller Predicts: Cloud Wars Will Continue, with Microsoft Gaining Strength Across Enterprise Markets

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Cloud computing has completely revolutionized the technology sector, enabling a new generation of incredible innovation and invention. When people talk about the competition between public cloud providers, thereโ€™s an underlying assumption that Amazon Web Services has already won the race.

From my perspective, thatโ€™s a false belief. Yes, AWS leads in overall market revenue. But according to a Goldman Sachs survey of tech executives, Microsoft is gaining strength rapidly.

The Goldman Sachs survey suggests that โ€œMicrosoft could continue to gain cloud market share. Microsoft stock has outpaced the major indices as CEO Satya Nadella has focused the company more on cloud services, particularly for business use. Further cloud growth could help bring the stock higher,โ€ writes Jordan Novet of CNBC. โ€œAcross cloud infrastructure and platform as a service put together, Microsoftโ€™s lead which has been increasing since December 2017, according to the analysts.โ€

I find this absolutely fascinating. From my point of view, itโ€™s another clear indicator that weโ€™re in the early innings of a long game. AWS is off to a great start, but itโ€™s far too early to foresee which of the cloud services will dominate the field over the long term. Itโ€™s safe to say the cloud providers have a long runway ahead of them.

โ€œAbout 23% of IT workloads are now on public clouds, up from 19% in June,โ€ writes Novet. Analysts โ€œexpect the percentage to reach 43% in three years. That leaves plenty of room for growth for other contenders, like Google, for example.โ€

Novetโ€™s article also points out that workload usage doesnโ€™t equate directly with revenue, making it hard to tell which cloud service is actually the most popular among enterprise users.

Hereโ€™s another interesting item: It looks as though Microsoftโ€™s acquisition of LinkedIn was a genuinely smart business move. โ€œLinkedIn will grow faster than previously expected,โ€ according to an article in eMarketer. โ€œThis year, we estimate that there will be 62.1 million adult LinkedIn users in the US, which will grow 4.2% in 2021 to 64.7 million. By the end of the forecasting period in 2023, we expect there to be 68.8 million users.โ€

LinkedIn isnโ€™t as popular as Facebook and Instagram, but itโ€™s the social media platform used regularly by professionals, which makes it a valuable tool for everyone in the business community.

โ€œLinkedIn users make up about a third of all social network users in the US, and that will stay approximately the same for the next few years, according to eMarketer. โ€œRevenues on the business social platform continue to grow, with most coming from B2B advertisers. This year, LinkedIn will see $1.59 billion in ad revenues, growing another 11.2% to $1.77 billion in 2021.โ€

Those are impressive numbers, and they demonstrate the wisdom of Microsoftโ€™s decision to acquire LinkedIn in 2016.

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